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Financial Analysis & Forecast Β· Group 4
FUR.AS  β‚¬ β€”
00 β€” Overview Live Β· FUR.AS
INA Financial Analysis Β· AMS:FUR Β· 2024–2028

Fugro Group
Financial Forecast

Geotechnical & Survey Services Β· Subsea Engineering

Revenue 2024
€ 2,275M
Revenue 2028E
€ 2,243M
EBIT Margin 2028E
9.0%
Net Income 2025
€ βˆ’21M
Shares Out. 2025
106.1M
01 β€”β€”
Business Information
& Outcomes

Company profile, market context, bull/base/bear scenario analysis and strategic assumptions.

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02 β€”β€”
Business Forecast
with Sliders

Full financial statements with live slider controls. Watch numbers react in real time β€” red and black.

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03 β€”β€”
Horizontal & Vertical
Analysis

6 years of actuals Β· C++ WASM engine Β· YoY % change Β· % of revenue Β· Monte Carlo Β· Pizza charts

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07 β€”β€”
Financial Statements
Forecast Engine

OLS regression Β· 13,001 scenarios Β· Real-time slider Β· Download Excel with exact group formatting.

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  • Studying the surface of the Earth through geographical inspections (such as soil composition, land, risk control against underground projects, mapping below the surface).
  • Provides geographical data for market segments involved with infrastructure, clean energy, and environmental purposes.
  • Provides feedback for companies interested in construction, clean energy, and even bridges (ranges from government officials such as the Dutch infrastructure officials to newly-founded companies getting involved with green, eco-friendly sustainable forms of energy sources).
Fugro vessel
Technology and strategy

Top-of-the-line technology that surpasses competition β€” including drones and advanced geophysical equipment. β†— Source

Investment and shifts toward wind projects worldwide.

Main Drivers of Sales

  • Fugro emphasizes revenue from clean energy β€” renewable energy represented about 40% of company revenue in 2024 compared to oil/gas at 35%. β†— Source
  • Increased activity in oil/gas exploration as another source of revenue.
  • Increased asset expansion through growth of geo-data services and tools.

Sales Drivers

  • Offshore wind projects and oil/gas fragmentation has increased need for geographical surveys.
  • Internal expansion and collaboration with internal entities provides new sales opportunities.

Operating Margins

  • Fugro's advanced technology and fleet of superior devices increase efficiency.
  • Fugro's cost-reduction efforts maximize revenue during uncertain market conditions. β†— Source

As of 2024, the global geotechnical services industry was valued at €2.3 billion, and is expected to reach €6 billion by 2032. This showcases a growth of 160% (13% annually), representing Fugro's scalability in a rapidly growing market. β†— Source

Growing Demand for Fugro's Services

  • Offshore Energy Farms: Energy plants (particularly wind farms) need extensive geographical surveys to determine suitable territory.
  • Oil & Gas Exploration: Oil & gas exploration accounts for nearly 50% of the geophysical services market.
  • Coastal Construction & Infrastructure: From oil rigs to hydropower plants, Fugro's services are needed as countries and firms look for oceanic infrastructure.
Construction and infrastructure
Fugro vessel at sea

Content to be added β€” competitive landscape, key peers, and market positioning.

Content to be added β€” cash flow analysis and commentary.

Sources

Fugro engine
Wind farm

Opportunities

  • Carbon Footprint Analysis, Flood Mapping, and Wind Monitoring program expansions.
  • Potential collaboration with Starlink for satellite-enhanced seabed surveys.
  • Government contracts and subsidies tied to large-scale renewable energy infrastructure projects.

Risks

  • Construction delays
  • Adverse weather
  • Environmental challenges and regulation
Strengths
  • Technical / Asset: Market leader with superior drones, vessels, and geophysical equipment providing more options than any competitor.
  • Oligopolistic / Market Leader: Operates in an oligopoly with high barriers to entry, positioning Fugro as critical to most infrastructure projects.
Weaknesses
  • Cost Structure: Expensive operations β€” vessels, safety equipment, asset depreciation, and inventory.
  • Time Dependence: Revenue unpredictability due to client timing decisions.
  • Limited Scalability: High cost of capital impacts scaling ability.
  • Complex Operations: Global offshore logistics increase coordination costs.
Opportunities
  • Service expansion through Carbon Footprint Analysis, Flood Mapping, and Wind Monitoring.
  • Potential Starlink collaboration for enhanced seabed surveys.
  • Government contracts and subsidies for renewable energy projects.
Threats
  • Cyclical Exposure: Oil/gas price volatility affects both operating costs and client activity.
  • Government Regulation: Large-scale project approvals can cause delays or cancellations.
  • External Disruption: War, weather, and global crises impact client investment decisions.
01 β€” Business Information & Possible Outcomes
2024 Β· ACTUAL
€2,275M
Total Revenue
2025 Β· ACTUAL
€1,848M
Total Revenue
βˆ’18.8%
2026 Β· EST.
€1,959M
Total Revenue
+6.0%
2027 Β· EST.
€2,096M
Total Revenue
+7.0%
2028 Β· EST.
€2,243M
Total Revenue
+7.0%
Bear Case
€ 1.8B
Revenue Growth+3%
EBIT Margin5%
EV/EBITDA Multiple6Γ—
Base Case
€ 2.6B
Revenue Growth+7%
EBIT Margin9%
EV/EBITDA Multiple8Γ—
Bull Case
€ 3.8B
Revenue Growth+10%
EBIT Margin12%
EV/EBITDA Multiple11Γ—
β„Ή
The financial ratios below are inputs for the Valuation & Forecast model (Section 04). β†’ Go to Valuation & Forecast (04)
Ratio202420252026E2027E2028E
Driver202420252026E2027E2028E
04 β€” Valuation & Forecast COMING SOON
EV/EBITDA Forecast Curve

Interactive Enterprise Value chart driven by EBITDA projections and market multiples.